綰界害姹囧競鍛ㄤ簩(7鏈?6鏃?錛岀編鍏冨厬澶у鏁頒富瑕佽揣甯佽蛋浣庯紝鍥犳渶鏂板嚭鐐夌殑鏁版嵁鏄劇ず緹庡浗鏍稿績閫氳揣鑶ㄨ儉鐜囦緷鐒跺緱鍒拌壇濂芥帶鍒訛紝緇欑編鑱斿偍鎻愪緵浜嗙淮鎸佸鏉捐揣甯佹斂絳栫殑絀洪棿銆傚競鍦哄洜鑰岄鏈熺編鑱斿偍涓誨腑浼崡鍏?Ben Bernanke)灝嗗湪鏈懆鍥戒細浣滆瘉鏃墮噸鐢籌紝緹庡浗璐у竵鏀跨瓥灝嗕繚鎸佸鏉俱�?
閫氳儉鎶ュ憡鍏竷鍚庣編鍏冩渶鍒濆皬騫呰蛋楂橈紝浣嗕箣鍚庡緢蹇洖鍚愭定騫咃紝緹庡厓鍏戞棩鍏冨拰嬈у厓鍧囪穼鑷沖懆涓�鏀剁洏姘村鉤涓嬫柟銆傜編鍏冭蛋鍔夸箣鎵�浠ヤ駭鐢熸嘗鍔ㄦ槸鍥犱負6鏈堜喚緹庡浗鎬諱綋娑堣垂鑰呬環(huán)鏍兼寚鏁?CPI)杈?鏈堜喚涓婂崌0.5%錛屽崌騫呯暐楂樹簬棰勬湡錛屼絾褰撴湀鏍稿績CPI鍗囧箙鍙湁0.2%銆?
閬撴槑璇佸埜(TD Securities)緹庡浗鐮旂┒涓庣瓥鐣ラ儴闂ㄤ富綆illan Mulraine琛ㄧず錛屽緹庤仈鍌ㄨ�岃█錛屾牳蹇冮�氳儉鍘嬪姏紼蟲鍑忓急搴旇浼氫負璇ヨ緇存寔瓚呭鏉捐揣甯佹斂絳栫戶緇垱閫犳湁鍒╂潯浠躲�?
緹庡厓鎸囨暟鍛ㄤ簩璺岀┛100鏃ョЩ鍔ㄥ潎綰垮垏鍏ヤ綅82.676銆傜編鎸囧湪7鏈?鏃ヨЕ鍙婁笁騫撮珮浣?4.753錛屼竴澶╁悗鍙戝竷鐨勭編鑱斿偍鏀跨瓥浼氳璁板綍鍜屼集鍗楀厠鍙戣〃璁茶瘽錛屼嬌瀵圭編鑱斿偍灝嗗湪9鏈堝紑濮嬬緝鍑忚喘鍊鴻妯＄殑棰勬湡闄嶆俯錛岀編鍏冨ぇ騫呰蛋浣庛�?
嬈у厓/緹庡厓鑷痙鍥絑EW緇忔祹鏅皵鎸囨暟鍏竷鍚庤Е鍙婄殑1.3057鍙嶅脊錛岀航綰︽椂孌墊渶楂樿Е鍙?.3176錛屽懆涓?7鏈?7鏃?浜氬競姹囦環(huán)灝忓箙鍥炶惤銆備氦鏄撳晢縐幫紝鍛ㄤ簩鐨勬定鍔夸嬌嬈у厓/緹庡厓閲嶅洖200鏃ョЩ鍔ㄥ潎綰垮垏鍏ヤ綅1.3076涔嬩笂錛屼笉榪囷紝鍦?.3150鏈夐樆鍔涗綅銆?
鑻遍晳/緹庡厓鎽嗚劚鏃╁墠鑻卞浗CPI鏁版嵁鐨勪笉鍒╁獎鍝嶅茍寮哄娍鍙嶅脊錛岀航綰︽椂孌佃Е鍙婃棩鍐呮柊楂?.5170錛屽懆涓変簹甯傛棭鐩樺洖钀借嚦1.5130涓�綰挎按騫熾�傝嫳鍥?鏈堜喚CPI涓婂崌2.9%錛屽崌騫呯暐浣庝簬棰勬湡銆?
婢沖厓鍛ㄤ簩璧伴珮錛屾境媧茶仈鍌?RBA)鏈�鏂板叕甯冪殑浼氳綰鏄劇ず鐩墠鐨勮揣甯佹斂絳栫珛鍦洪�傚綋鍚庯紝鎶曡祫鑰呴檷浣庡澶灝嗚繘涓�姝ラ檷鎭殑鎶兼敞銆傚懆涓変簹甯傛棭鐩橈紝婢沖厓/緹庡厓鑷殧澶滃垱鍑虹殑鏃ュ唴楂樼偣0.9259鍥炶惤鑷?.9240涓�綰塊檮榪戞按騫熾�傚姞鎷垮ぇ鐨囧閾惰(Royal Bank of Canada)楂樼駭澶栨眹絳栫暐甯圫ue Trinh縐幫紝浼氳綰鐨勫熀璋冩殫紺猴紝婢蟲床鑱斿偍鍊懼悜浜庡湪榪涗竴姝ユ斁瀹芥斂絳栧墠鍏堣鏈涗竴孌墊椂闂淬�?
緹庡厓/鏃ュ厓鑷殧澶滀綆鐐圭洰鍓嶅皬騫呭弽寮硅嚦99.00涓�綰夸笂鏂規(guī)按騫熾�傚懆鏈墠鏃ュ厓鍙兘闈復涓�瀹氱殑鍘嬪姏錛屽洜棰勬湡鍦ㄥ懆鏃ヨ繘琛岀殑鏃ユ湰鍙傝闄㈤�変婦涓紝棣栫浉瀹夊�嶆檵涓夊皢澶ц幏鍏ㄨ儨錛屼粬灝嗚幏寰楁洿澶х殑鑷敱搴︽潵鎺ㄨ繘鍏墮�氳繃鏀懼璐у竵鏀跨瓥鍜屽疄鏂界粨鏋勬�ф敼闈╂潵鎺ㄥ姩緇忔祹澶嶈嫃鐨勮鍒掋�?
浼崡鍏嬭瘉璇嶅鍙楃灘鐩?
浼崡鍏嬪懆涓夊皢鍦ㄥ浗浼氬彂琛ㄥ崐騫村害璇佽瘝錛屼氦鏄撳憳浠皢瀵嗗垏鍏蟲敞鏈夊叧璇ヨ灝嗕粠浣曟椂璧風緝鍑忔瘡鏈?50浜跨編鍏冨�哄埜璐拱瑙勬ā鐨勬洿鏄庣‘淇″彿銆?
浼崡鍏?鏈堜喚鏃惰〃紺猴紝濡傛灉緇忔祹緇х畫澶嶈嫃錛岀編鑱斿偍鍙兘浼氫粠浠婂勾鏅氫簺鏃跺�欏紑濮嬮�愭鏀劇紦璐�洪�熷害銆備粬鐨勮璇濅績浣胯澶氭姇璧勮�呬拱榪涚編鍏冿紝鍥犱負榪欎嬌甯傚満瀵圭編鑱斿偍绱х緝鏀跨瓥鐨勯鏈熷崌娓┿�備絾鏄鍚庯紝鍖呮嫭浼崡鍏嬭嚜宸卞湪鍐呯殑澶氫綅緹庤仈鍌ㄥ畼鍛樼珯鍑烘潵璇達紝璇ヨ鐨勫鏉捐揣甯佹斂絳栧彲鑳借繕灝嗙淮鎸佷竴孌墊椂闂淬�?
娉曞浗鍏翠笟閾惰(601166,鑲″惂)椹葷航綰︾殑澶栨眹絳栫暐甯圫ebastien Galy琛ㄧず錛屼集鍗楀厠璇佽瘝鐨勯�氳儉绔嬪満灝嗗亸娓╁拰錛屽鏋滃競鍦烘湭瀹屽叏娑堝寲榪欎竴鍥犵礌灝嗕護浠栧�嶆劅鎰忓銆?
鍛ㄤ簩鍏竷鐨勬暟鎹樉紺猴紝緹庡浗寤虹瓚鍟嗕俊蹇?鏈堝寮鴻嚦涓冨勾鍗婃渶楂橈紝6鏈堟秷璐硅�呯墿浠峰騫呰秴榪囬鏈熷悗錛岀編鍏冧竴搴﹀墛鍑忚穼騫呫�?
鍙︿竴浜涙暟鎹樉紺猴紝5鏈堟搗澶栨姇璧勮�呰繛緇鍥涗釜鏈堝崠鍑虹編鍥介暱鏈熻瘉鍒革紝鑰?鏈堢編鍥藉伐涓氱敓浜у騫呯暐楂樹簬棰勬湡銆?
鍒嗘瀽甯堣〃紺猴紝鍛ㄤ竴鍏竷鐨勪護浜哄け鏈涚殑緹庡浗闆跺敭閿�鍞暟鎹嬌緹庤仈鍌ㄥ皢鍦ㄧ煭鏈熷唴緙╁噺鍒烘縺瑙勬ā鐨勯鏈熼檷娓╋紝浠ょ編鍏冩壙鍘嬨�?
Rabobank鐨勯珮綰ф眹甯傜瓥鐣ュ笀Jane Foley琛ㄧず錛岀編鍏冨彲鑳借繘涓�姝ュ皬騫呰蛋杞�?
閮ㄥ垎鍒嗘瀽甯堣〃紺猴紝浼崡鍏嬬殑璁茶瘽鍙兘浣垮競鍦轟繚鎸佺編鑱斿偍灝嗗湪浠婂勾紼嶅悗寮�濮嬫挙璧板埡嬋�涓炬帾鐨勯鏈燂紝浣嗕集鍗楀厠浼氭槑紜〃紺猴紝鑱斿偍涓嶄細鏀剁揣鏀跨瓥銆?
姹囦赴閾惰鐨勬眹甯傜瓥鐣ュ笀Robert Lynch琛ㄧず錛屼粬涓嶅お紜畾浼崡鍏嬩綔璇佹椂浼氬氨6鏈?9鏃ュ彂甯冪殑緙╁噺璐�鴻妯℃椂闂磋〃浣滀綍瑙ｉ噴銆傞璁′粬浼犻�掔殑淇℃伅鍙兘涓庤仈閭﹀叕寮�甯傚満濮斿憳浼?FOMC)涓�鑷達紝浣嗕粬璁や負錛岀編鑱斿偍瀹樺憳浠偗瀹氬鍏�哄競鍦虹殑娉㈠姩鎬у緢鏁忔劅銆?
浼崡鍏嬭紼垮皢鎻愬墠鍙戝竷
緹庡浗浼楄闄㈤噾铻嶆湇鍔″鍛樹細(The House Financial Services Committee)鍛ㄤ竴(7鏈?5鏃?瀹ｅ竷錛屽湪緹庤仈鍌ㄤ富甯集鍗楀厠浜庢湰鍛ㄤ笁鍦ㄤ紬闄㈠仛璇佽瘝璁茶瘽鍓嶏紝灝嗕簬褰撳ぉ緹庡浗涓滈儴鏃墮棿8鐐?0鍒?鍖椾含鏃墮棿20:30鍒?鎻愬墠鍙戝竷鍏朵簨鍏堟挵鍐欏ソ鐨勮紼褲�傝繖鏄編鍥藉浗浼氭湁鍙蹭互鏉ラ搴﹀湪緹庤仈鍌ㄤ富甯瘉璇嶈璇濆紑濮嬩箣鍓嶆彁鍓嶅彂甯冭紼褲�?
鑰屼集鍗楀厠鍏充簬璐у竵鏀跨瓥鐜扮姸涓庡墠鏅殑鍗婂勾搴﹁璇濆垯灝嗗湪褰撳湴鏃墮棿10鐐?鍖椾含鏃墮棿22鐐?寮�濮嬨�傝�屽競鍦哄悇鐣屽叧娉ㄧ劍鐐歸泦涓簬璁茶瘽瀹屾瘯鍚庣殑絳旈棶鐜妭銆?
浼楅櫌閲戣瀺鏈嶅姟濮斿憳浼氱殑鍙戣█浜烘寚鍑猴紝鎻愬墠鍙戝竷璁茬ǹ鍙互緇欑浉鍏寵鍛樻洿澶氱殑鏃墮棿瀵逛集鍗楀厠鐨勮瘉璇嶈繘琛岃В璇伙紝浠ヤ究鍙互鏈夌殑鏀劇煝鍦板璐у竵鏀跨瓥鐜扮姸涓庡墠鏅姸鍐靛彂闂�?
璁茶瘽涔嬪墠鍓婂噺緹庡厓澶村
BK璧勪駭綆＄悊鐨勯甯姹囩瓥鐣ュ笀Kathy Lien鏃ュ墠琛ㄧず錛屾姇璧勮�呭彲鑳藉湪鍛ㄤ笁璁茶瘽姝ｅ紡鍙戣〃涔嬪墠鍓婂噺緹庡厓澶村銆?
濂硅〃紺猴紝姝ゆ璇佽瘝鍑嗗閮ㄥ垎鐨勫彂琛ㄦ椂闂村皢浠庡寳浜椂闂?2:00鎻愬墠鑷?0:30銆傝繖涓�鏀瑰彉鍙兘璁╁鍛樹細鎴愬憳鏈夋椂闂村湪鍚瘉鐜妭寮�濮嬩箣鍓嶅洖欏捐瘉璇嶅唴瀹廣�傚洜姝わ紝鍥戒細鎴愬憳鏈夋洿澶氱殑鏃墮棿鏉ュ浼崡鍏嬬殑璁″垝鎻愬嚭寮傝錛屽茍涓烘渶緇堢殑鏀誨嚮鎬ф彁闂綔鍑烘�濊�冦�?
灞婃椂緹庡厓鍏戞棩鍏冦�佸姞鍏冨拰鐟為儙鍙兘浼氶『鍔胯蛋楂橈紝浣嗙編鍏冨厬婢沖厓銆佺航鍏冨垯澶氬崐浼氳蛋杞紝鍏戞鍏冨拰鑻遍晳浼氶櫡鍏ヤ笂涓嬩袱闅劇殑澧冨湴銆?
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鑻ュ姝わ紝浼崡鍏嬪垯浼氫細寮鴻皟璐у竵鏀跨瓥浼氬寘鍚瀬绔殑閫傚簲鎬э紝鍔犳伅鏃剁偣鍒欐槸閬ラ仴鏃犳湡錛岀編鑱斿偍鍙兘鍦ㄤ竴嬈℃�у墛鍑忚喘鍊哄悗鍑忓皯鎴栨殏鍋滃悗緇鍑忓姏搴︼紝榪欎細浣垮競鍦哄弽鏄犲彉寰楃浉瀵規(guī)俯鍜岋紝騫跺湪鍓婂噺璐�轟婦鎺殑榪囩▼涓粰浜堝競鍦哄枠鎭┖闂淬�?
鍚屾椂濂規(guī)寚鍑猴紝濡傛灉緹庡浗緇忔祹鎸佺畫澶嶈嫃錛岀編鑱斿偍浼氫笉鏂湴閫氳繃鍙ｅご娌熼�氭潵涓洪��鍑鴻鍔ㄩ鐑紝榪欎竴榪囩▼浼氭帹鍔ㄧ編鍏冩眹鐜囪蛋楂樸�備絾鍦ㄥ競鍦洪鏈熻涓轟集鍗楀厠璇佽瘝鍐呭鍋忎簬楦芥淳鐨勬儏鍐典笅錛屾姇璧勮�呭彲鑳藉湪璁茶瘽鍙戣〃涔嬪墠鍓婂噺緹庡厓澶氬ご澶村銆傦紙杞嚜鍜岃緗戯級
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